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Stuttgarter Kickers vs Freiburg II Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Stuttgarter Kickers

PPG 2.05 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDW ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Freiburg II

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.4%0-22.9%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.4%1-17.5%1-26.4%1-33.7%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.6%3-16.1%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.6%4+-24.8%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2✓ 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stuttgarter Kickers2.2

Freiburg II1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STUTTGARTER KICKERS · PPG 2.05

FREIBURG II · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stuttgarter Kickers (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Freiburg II (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stuttgarter Kickers face Freiburg II in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stuttgarter Kickers a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Freiburg II 30%, so Stuttgarter Kickers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Stuttgarter Kickers and 1.7 for Freiburg II (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stuttgarter Kickers are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.37 for Freiburg II. This match finished 2-2.

Stuttgarter Kickers vs Freiburg II Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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