Today / Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest / FSV Frankfurt vs FC Astoria Walldorf

FSV Frankfurt vs FC Astoria Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

FSV Frankfurt
PPG 1.28 · HOME
LAST 5
DLWD ·
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
FC Astoria Walldorf
PPG 1.11 · AWAY
LAST 5
LDLD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.1%0-23.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.2%1-18.4%1-26.8%1-33.7%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.4%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.7%3-16.0%3-24.8%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.9%4+-24.0%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.8%
Draw 22.7%
Away win 29.6%
Over 2.5 65.0%
Over 3.5 43.5%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 59.6%
Away O1.5 48.5%

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 26%
ROI -39.7%
Bet Hit 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 1–2 6.8%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FSV Frankfurt2.1
FC Astoria Walldorf1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 1.28

FC ASTORIA WALLDORF · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FSV Frankfurt (H) 47.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
FC Astoria Walldorf (A) 29.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FSV Frankfurt face FC Astoria Walldorf in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FSV Frankfurt a 48% chance, the draw 23% and FC Astoria Walldorf 30%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FSV Frankfurt and 1.6 for FC Astoria Walldorf (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FSV Frankfurt are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.11 for FC Astoria Walldorf. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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