Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohang Steelers face Gwangju in South-Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohang Steelers a 56% chance, the draw 34% and Gwangju 10%, so Pohang Steelers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Pohang Steelers and 0.3 for Gwangju (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 17% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohang Steelers are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.40 for Gwangju. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +17.9%. This match finished 1-0.