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Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju Utd Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

South-Korea - K League 1 logo South-Korea flag South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 9 Daejeon World Cup Stadium· Daejeon Wednesday, April 22, 2026 10:30
Daejeon Citizen logo Daejeon Citizen PPG 0.50
0-1 HIT CS3
Jeju Utd logo Jeju Utd PPG 1.33
Away· +34.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Daejeon Citizen face Jeju Utd in South-Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Daejeon Citizen a 35% chance, the draw 37% and Jeju Utd 28%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Daejeon Citizen and 0.7 for Jeju Utd (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Daejeon Citizen are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Jeju Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.7%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -40.0%
Draw 36.9%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +31.0%
Away 28.4%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +34.9%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 18.6% Odds: 2.00 -62.8%
Over 3.5 6.3% Odds: 3.55 -77.6%
BTTS 27.2% Odds: 1.85 -49.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Daejeon Citizen
0.79
Jeju Utd
0.69

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -73.5%
Bet Hit 17% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.50)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org