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Anyang vs Ulsan Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 10:30

Anyang

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Ulsan

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.1%0-27.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.3%1-113.0%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.0%2-17.6%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 32.3% 3.10 +5.7%

Draw 27.4% 30.8% 3.25 -10.9%

Away win 38.4% 43.5% 2.30 -11.7%

Over 2.5 43.9% 50.0% 2.00 -12.2%

Over 3.5 22.8% 28.6% 3.50 -20.2%

BTTS 49.5% 57.8% 1.73 -14.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -30.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.5%

A 38% / xG 1.2-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 0–1 11.1%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang1.2

Ulsan1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.33

ULSAN · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 34.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +5.7%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -10.9%

Ulsan (A) 38.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Ulsan in South-Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 34% chance, the draw 27% and Ulsan 38%, so Ulsan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Anyang and 1.3 for Ulsan (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.25 for Ulsan. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Anyang vs Ulsan Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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