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Persis Solo vs Bhayangkara S. Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Regular Season - 29 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 08:30

Persis Solo

PPG 0.93 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bhayangkara S.

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.9%0-27.1%0-33.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.3%1-111.6%1-29.1%1-34.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.7%2-17.5%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.0%3-13.2%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.2% 44.4% 2.25 -29.8%

Draw 24.6% 31.3% 3.20 -21.3%

Away win 44.2% 34.7% 2.88 +27.3%

Over 2.5 54.7% 54.1% 1.85 +1.2%

Over 3.5 32.4% 32.3% 3.10 +0.4%

BTTS 57.6% 60.6% 1.65 -5.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.1%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob57.6%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–1 8.9%

#4 2–1✓ 7.5%

#5 1–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Persis Solo1.3

Bhayangkara S.1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PERSIS SOLO · PPG 0.93

BHAYANGKARA S. · PPG 1.21

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Persis Solo (H) 31.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -29.8%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -21.3%

Bhayangkara S. (A) 44.2%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +27.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Persis Solo face Bhayangkara S. in Indonesia - Liga 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Persis Solo a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Bhayangkara S. 44%, so Bhayangkara S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Persis Solo and 1.6 for Bhayangkara S. (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Persis Solo are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.21 for Bhayangkara S.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Persis Solo vs Bhayangkara S. Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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