Puerto Cabello vs Trujillanos Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - 12 Complejo Deportivo Socialista· Carabobo Tuesday, April 21, 2026 22:00

Puerto Cabello PPG 1.40

3-1 MISS

Trujillanos PPG 0.20

Over3.5· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello face Trujillanos in Venezuela - Primera División on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Trujillanos 7%, so Puerto Cabello are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Puerto Cabello and 0.5 for Trujillanos (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.20 for Trujillanos. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.3%

Odds: 1.28 EV: +0.2%

Draw 15.2%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -34.2%

Away 6.5%

Odds: 10.80 EV: -29.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.1% Odds: 1.93 +4.4%

Over 3.5 31.8% Odds: 3.35 +6.5%

BTTS 36.3% Odds: 2.35 -14.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Puerto Cabello

2.33

Trujillanos

0.51

Model SuggestionHome +0.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+6.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 77%

BTTS/No 39%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 17.3%

Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus