Dunfermline vs St. Johnstone Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

Dunfermline face St. Johnstone in Scotland - Championship on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dunfermline a 32% chance, the draw 26% and St. Johnstone 42%, so St. Johnstone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dunfermline and 1.4 for St. Johnstone (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dunfermline are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 2.00 for St. Johnstone. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.7%. This match finished 0-2.