Macclesfield vs Southport Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 41 The Leasing.com Stadium· Macclesfield, Cheshire Tuesday, April 21, 2026 18:45

Macclesfield PPG 1.77

2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Southport PPG 1.23

Over3.5· +34.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Macclesfield face Southport in England - National League - North on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Macclesfield a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Southport 24%, so Macclesfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Macclesfield and 1.4 for Southport (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Macclesfield are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.23 for Southport. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.9%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -9.4%

Draw 20.5%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -23.1%

Away 23.6%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +8.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.3% Odds: 1.75 +19.5%

Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: 2.88 +34.8%

BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.73 +13.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Macclesfield

2.16

Southport

1.36

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +19.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+34.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)