Cheltenham vs Tranmere Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 40 Whaddon Road· Cheltenham Tuesday, April 21, 2026 18:45

Cheltenham PPG 1.48

1-3 MISS

Tranmere PPG 0.95

Over3.5· +49.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheltenham face Tranmere in England - League Two on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheltenham a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Tranmere 24%, so Cheltenham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cheltenham and 1.2 for Tranmere (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheltenham are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.95 for Tranmere. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +49.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.5%

Odds: 2.28 EV: +22.0%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -27.2%

Away 24.1%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -25.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: 2.15 +28.3%

Over 3.5 37.3% Odds: 4.00 +49.2%

BTTS 59.3% Odds: 1.85 +9.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cheltenham

1.89

Tranmere

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +28.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+49.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.48) > Away POOR (0.95)