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União Suzano U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

União Suzano U20

PPG 0.80 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Itapirense U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.0%0-25.9%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.3%1-113.2%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-18.0%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.0%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 42.0% 2.38 -3.9%

Draw 29.2% 30.3% 3.30 -2.2%

Away win 30.4% 39.2% 2.55 -22.5%

Over 2.5 44.8% 54.1% 1.85 -17.1%

Over 3.5 25.6% 34.7% 2.88 -15.8%

BTTS 49.1% 61.7% 1.62 -20.5%

Home O1.5 32.4% 48.8% 2.05 -33.6%

Away O1.5 34.9% 40.0% 2.50 -12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.1%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União Suzano U201.2

Itapirense U201.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO SUZANO U20 · PPG 0.80

ITAPIRENSE U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

União Suzano U20 (H) 40.4%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -3.9%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -2.2%

Itapirense U20 (A) 30.4%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -22.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

União Suzano U20 face Itapirense U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União Suzano U20 a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Itapirense U20 30%, so União Suzano U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for União Suzano U20 and 1.1 for Itapirense U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União Suzano U20 are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.00 for Itapirense U20. This match finished 2-1.

União Suzano U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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