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União São João U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

União São João U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

XV de Piracicaba U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.8%0-117.2%0-26.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-112.3%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.0%2-14.4%2-21.6%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% 33.3% 3.00 +0.5%

Draw 35.8% 30.3% 3.30 +18.1%

Away win 30.7% 47.6% 2.10 -35.5%

Over 2.5 34.5% 51.3% 1.95 -32.7%

Over 3.5 16.5% 32.5% 3.08 -29.5%

BTTS 43.6% 59.9% 1.67 -27.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 37.3% 2.68 -18.0%

Away O1.5 17.9% 48.1% 2.08 -37.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 117 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -47.8%

Bet Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.6%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 23.8%

#2 1–0 16.9%

#3 0–1 17.2%

#4 1–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

União São João U200.7

XV de Piracicaba U200.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIÃO SÃO JOÃO U20 · PPG 1.00

XV DE PIRACICABA U20 · PPG 1.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 1.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

União São João U20 (H) 33.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +0.5%

Draw 35.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +18.1%

XV de Piracicaba U20 (A) 30.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -35.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

União São João U20 face XV de Piracicaba U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives União São João U20 a 34% chance, the draw 36% and XV de Piracicaba U20 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for União São João U20 and 0.7 for XV de Piracicaba U20 (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, União São João U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for XV de Piracicaba U20. This match finished 0-0.

União São João U20 vs XV de Piracicaba U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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