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W. Burghausen PPG 2.07 
Greuther F. B PPG 0.71
W. Burghausen vs Greuther F. B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern
W. Burghausen PPG 2.071-3 MISS
Greuther F. B PPG 0.71 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
W. Burghausen face Greuther F. B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives W. Burghausen a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Greuther F. B 23%, so W. Burghausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for W. Burghausen and 1.1 for Greuther F. B (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, W. Burghausen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.71 for Greuther F. B. This match finished 1-3.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 30.9% Odds: — —
BTTS 54.0% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
W. Burghausen 1.74
Greuther F. B 1.06
Model Suggestion
BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 53 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -0.4%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=53.2%