Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern / Unterhaching vs Hankofen-H.

Unterhaching vs Hankofen-H. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

Unterhaching logo
Unterhaching
PPG 2.21 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Hankofen-H. logo
Hankofen-H.
PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away POOR (0.57) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-10.9%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.8%1-13.0%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.2%2-15.1%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.9%3-15.7%3-21.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-029.9%4+-111.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 91.7%
Draw 6.4%
Away win 1.9%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 52.1%
BTTS 30.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 59%
BTTS 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -17.4%
Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 86%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob30.9%

H 92% / xG 3.4-0.4 / O2.5 73% / NoBTTS 31%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 14.9%
#2 2–0 13.2%
#3 4–0 12.6%
#4 5–0 8.5%
#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unterhaching3.4
Hankofen-H.0.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UNTERHACHING · PPG 2.21

HANKOFEN-H. · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away POOR (0.57) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Unterhaching (H) 91.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 6.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hankofen-H. (A) 1.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Unterhaching face Hankofen-H. in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unterhaching a 92% chance, the draw 6% and Hankofen-H. 2%, so Unterhaching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Unterhaching and 0.4 for Hankofen-H. (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unterhaching are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 0.57 for Hankofen-H.. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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