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Nurnberg B vs Bayern Munich B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 30 Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher· Nürnberg Tuesday, April 21, 2026 17:00
Nurnberg B logo Nurnberg B PPG 2.36
4-1 MISS
Bayern Munich B logo Bayern Munich B PPG 1.00
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nurnberg B face Bayern Munich B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nurnberg B a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Bayern Munich B 20%, so Nurnberg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Nurnberg B and 1.2 for Bayern Munich B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nurnberg B are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.00 for Bayern Munich B. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 20.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 20.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 41.9% Odds: —
BTTS 60.7% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nurnberg B
2.13
Bayern Munich B
1.17

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -0.4%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=59.4%

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