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Aubstadt vs Eichstatt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

Aubstadt

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Eichstatt

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-19.9%0-26.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.0%1-112.4%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.7%2-17.8%2-25.4%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.4%3-13.3%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 39.7% — — —

Over 2.5 49.1% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 53.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.5%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 9.9%

#3 1–0✓ 9.0%

#4 1–2 8.6%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aubstadt1.3

Eichstatt1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.1% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AUBSTADT · PPG 1.36

EICHSTATT · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Aubstadt (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eichstatt (A) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aubstadt face Eichstatt in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aubstadt a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Eichstatt 40%, so Eichstatt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Aubstadt and 1.4 for Eichstatt (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aubstadt are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.40 for Eichstatt. This match finished 1-0.

Aubstadt vs Eichstatt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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