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Ansbach vs Memmingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

Ansbach

PPG 1.71 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Memmingen

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.3%0-24.1%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.3%1-19.7%1-27.4%1-33.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.5%3-15.4%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.8%4+-22.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 32.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.7% — — —

BTTS 66.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob66.1%

H 45% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 1–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ansbach1.8

Memmingen1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ANSBACH · PPG 1.71

MEMMINGEN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Ansbach (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Memmingen (A) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ansbach face Memmingen in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ansbach a 45% chance, the draw 23% and Memmingen 33%, so Ansbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ansbach and 1.5 for Memmingen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ansbach are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Memmingen. This match finished 1-3.

Ansbach vs Memmingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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