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S. Kickers vs Balingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

S. Kickers

PPG 1.86 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Balingen

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-13.2%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.1%1-17.8%1-23.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.8%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-18.5%4+-24.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.2% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 12.8% — — —

Over 2.5 66.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.3% — — —

BTTS 56.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.2%

H 70% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 3–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Kickers2.5

Balingen1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

S. KICKERS · PPG 1.86

BALINGEN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

S. Kickers (H) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Balingen (A) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Kickers face Balingen in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Kickers a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Balingen 13%, so S. Kickers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for S. Kickers and 1.0 for Balingen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Kickers are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.86 for Balingen. This match finished 4-1.

S. Kickers vs Balingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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