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Homburg vs Eintracht Trier Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Südwest - 30 Waldstadion Homburg· Homburg Tuesday, April 21, 2026 17:00
Homburg logo Homburg PPG 1.79
1-2 MISS
Eintracht Trier logo Eintracht Trier PPG 0.67
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Homburg face Eintracht Trier in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Homburg a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Eintracht Trier 17%, so Homburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Homburg and 1.0 for Eintracht Trier (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Homburg are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.67 for Eintracht Trier. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 19.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 16.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 40.0% Odds: —
BTTS 56.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Homburg
2.19
Eintracht Trier
1.02

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -39.7%
Bet Hit 42% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=63.9%

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