Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi face Samgurali in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 66% chance, the draw 25% and Samgurali 10%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.4 for Samgurali (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Kutaisi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Samgurali. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +20.2%. This match finished 6-1.