Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Hvidovre vs Kolding IF

Hvidovre vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 26 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 17:00

Hvidovre logo
Hvidovre
PPG 1.42 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
Kolding IF logo
Kolding IF
PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-19.2%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.7%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-18.8%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.5%3-14.0%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.3% 53.2% 1.88 -9.2%
Draw 27.4% 30.3% 3.30 -9.6%
Away win 24.3% 25.3% 3.95 -4.0%
Over 2.5 39.8% 50.0% 2.00 -20.4%
Over 3.5 19.6% 28.2% 3.55 -30.4%
BTTS 44.3% 55.6% 1.80 -20.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -5.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.3%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.2%
#2 1–1 12.7%
#3 0–0 10.2%
#4 2–0 9.8%
#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvidovre1.4
Kolding IF0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.42

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Hvidovre (H) 48.3%
ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -9.2%
Draw 27.4%
ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.6%
Kolding IF (A) 24.3%
ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvidovre face Kolding IF in Denmark - 1. Division on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvidovre a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Kolding IF 24%, so Hvidovre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hvidovre and 0.9 for Kolding IF (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvidovre are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.08 for Kolding IF. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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