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CSKA Moscow vs Rostov Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 26 VEB Arena· Moscow Tuesday, April 21, 2026 16:45
CSKA Moscow logo CSKA Moscow PPG 2.33
1-1 HIT CS4
Rostov logo Rostov PPG 1.00
Home· +30.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CSKA Moscow face Rostov in Russia - Premier League on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSKA Moscow a 68% chance, the draw 22% and Rostov 10%, so CSKA Moscow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for CSKA Moscow and 0.5 for Rostov (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSKA Moscow are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Rostov. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.6%
Odds: 1.93 EV: +30.5%
Draw 22.1%
Odds: 3.68 EV: -18.7%
Away 10.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -57.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.3% Odds: 1.97 -22.6%
Over 3.5 19.2% Odds: 3.32 -36.3%
BTTS 33.1% Odds: 1.78 -41.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Moscow
1.75
Rostov
0.51

Model Suggestion

Home +30.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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