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Croatia - HNL
Regular Season - 31
Stadion Poljud· Split
Tuesday, April 21, 2026
16:45
Hajduk Split
PPG 2.13
0-1
MISS
Osijek
PPG 0.87
Home· +7.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
78.5%
Odds: 1.37
EV: +7.5%
Draw
15.2%
Odds: 4.20
EV: -36.2%
Away
6.3%
Odds: 8.10
EV: -49.0%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.0%
Odds: 1.80
-4.6%
Over 3.5
30.8%
Odds: 2.95
-9.1%
BTTS
35.0%
Odds: 1.95
-31.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
4-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hajduk Split
2.31
Osijek
0.49
Model Suggestion
Home
+7.5%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.13), Away POOR (0.87) - Strong consensus