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Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 20 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 11:30

Nantong Haimen Codion

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Qingdao Red Lions

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-113.4%0-25.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.6%1-113.0%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.5%2-16.3%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-12.0%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 38.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.8% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -6.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 1–0 17.6%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 1–1✓ 13.0%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nantong Haimen Codion1.0

Qingdao Red Lions0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NANTONG HAIMEN CODION · PPG 1.33

QINGDAO RED LIONS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 1.70 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nantong Haimen Codion (H) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Qingdao Red Lions (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nantong Haimen Codion face Qingdao Red Lions in China - League Two on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nantong Haimen Codion a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Qingdao Red Lions 29%, so Nantong Haimen Codion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nantong Haimen Codion and 0.7 for Qingdao Red Lions (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nantong Haimen Codion are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Qingdao Red Lions. This match finished 1-1.

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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