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Al Batin vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 16:05

Al Batin

PPG 0.79 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al Anwar

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-18.1%0-27.6%0-34.8%0-4+3.4%1 1-05.5%1-110.3%1-29.6%1-36.0%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.5%2-16.5%2-26.1%2-33.8%2-4+2.7%3 3-01.5%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.6%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.7% 38.5% 2.60 -33.2%

Draw 22.6% 29.4% 3.40 -23.2%

Away win 51.7% 41.7% 2.40 +24.1%

Over 2.5 60.7% 60.6% 1.65 +0.1%

Over 3.5 38.3% 38.5% 2.60 -0.4%

BTTS 60.7% 65.4% 1.53 -7.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.7%

A 52% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–1 8.1%

#4 0–2 7.6%

#5 2–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Batin1.3

Al Anwar1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BATIN · PPG 0.79

AL ANWAR · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.79), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Al Batin (H) 25.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -33.2%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -23.2%

Al Anwar (A) 51.7%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Batin face Al Anwar in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Batin a 26% chance, the draw 23% and Al Anwar 52%, so Al Anwar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Batin and 1.9 for Al Anwar (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Batin are averaging 0.79 points per game versus 0.86 for Al Anwar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.1%. This match finished 2-3.

Al Batin vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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