Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 30 Department of Education Stadium· Unaizah Tuesday, April 21, 2026 16:05

Al Arabi PPG 0.71

1-1 HIT CS4

Al Bukayriyah PPG 1.29

Away· +27.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Arabi face Al Bukayriyah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Arabi a 16% chance, the draw 28% and Al Bukayriyah 57%, so Al Bukayriyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Al Arabi and 1.4 for Al Bukayriyah (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Arabi are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Al Bukayriyah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.5%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -55.0%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -9.3%

Away 56.6%

Odds: 2.25 EV: +27.4%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.9% Odds: 1.95 -39.7%

Over 3.5 13.3% Odds: 3.45 -54.1%

BTTS 32.5% Odds: 1.73 -43.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Arabi

0.57

Al Bukayriyah

1.37

Model SuggestionAway +27.4% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs Home POOR (0.71)