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Augsburg B vs Schwaben A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 16:00

Augsburg B

PPG 0.57 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Schwaben A.

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.5%0-26.3%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.9%1-113.0%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.7%2-18.0%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.8%3-13.3%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 49.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.4%

H 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 10.9%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Augsburg B1.2

Schwaben A.1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AUGSBURG B · PPG 0.57

SCHWABEN A. · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.15) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Augsburg B (H) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schwaben A. (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Augsburg B face Schwaben A. in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Augsburg B a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Schwaben A. 35%, so Augsburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Augsburg B and 1.2 for Schwaben A. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Augsburg B are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.15 for Schwaben A.. This match finished 2-1.

Augsburg B vs Schwaben A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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