← Back to picks 
Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Tuesday, April 21, 2026 15:55 
Al Diraiyah PPG 2.64 
Al Raed PPG 1.21
Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Tuesday, April 21, 2026 15:55 Al Diraiyah PPG 2.641-3 MISS
Al Raed PPG 1.21Over3.5· +13.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 71.4% Odds: 1.50 +7.1%
Over 3.5 50.5% Odds: 2.25 +13.6%
BTTS 62.1% Odds: 1.55 -3.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Diraiyah 2.58
Al Raed 1.11
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +7.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+13.6%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+13.6%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 46 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 2.7%
Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 68%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.64), Away AVERAGE (1.21) - Strong consensus