Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba

Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 00:30

Gimnasia M.

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-112.9%0-25.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.7%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.7%2-17.0%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.4%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 34.7% 2.88 +12.3%

Draw 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

Away win 28.9% 36.5% 2.74 -12.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 34.5% 2.90 +23.8%

Over 3.5 21.1% 16.7% 6.00 +16.0%

BTTS 47.7% 45.5% 2.20 +4.9%

Home O1.5 30.2% 29.0% 3.45 +4.2%

Away O1.5 24.6% 30.3% 3.30 -11.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -4.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

H 39% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnasia M.1.0

Talleres Cordoba0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASIA M. · PPG 1.90

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.45

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 1.96 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gimnasia M. (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +12.3%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.1%

Talleres Cordoba (A) 28.9%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnasia M. face Talleres Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia M. a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Cordoba 29%, so Gimnasia M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gimnasia M. and 0.9 for Talleres Cordoba (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia M. are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.45 for Talleres Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.8%.

Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions