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Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 23:15

Central Cordoba de Santiago

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Instituto Cordoba

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.3%0-114.4%0-26.7%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.7%2-16.3%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.1%3-12.0%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% 27.0% 3.70 +20.3%

Draw 32.9% 34.2% 2.92 -3.9%

Away win 34.7% 45.9% 2.18 -24.3%

Over 2.5 37.0% 37.0% 2.70 -0.1%

Over 3.5 18.0% 18.2% 5.50 -0.6%

BTTS 47.7% 46.5% 2.15 +2.5%

Home O1.5 30.2% 25.0% 4.00 +20.8%

Away O1.5 26.2% 37.7% 2.65 -18.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -2.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.3%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 0–1 14.4%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Cordoba de Santiago0.9

Instituto Cordoba0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL CORDOBA DE SANTIAGO · PPG 1.60

INSTITUTO CORDOBA · PPG 1.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 1.88 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Cordoba de Santiago (H) 32.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +20.3%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -3.9%

Instituto Cordoba (A) 34.7%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Cordoba de Santiago face Instituto Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Cordoba de Santiago a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Instituto Cordoba 35%, so Instituto Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 0.9 for Instituto Cordoba (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Cordoba de Santiago are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.10 for Instituto Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +20.8%.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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