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Internacional vs Remo Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Matchday 23 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 23:00

Internacional

PPG 1.09 · HOME

UPCOMING

Remo

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.0% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.7%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.6%1-111.4%1-25.1%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.1%3-15.5%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% 64.1% 1.56 -17.0%

Draw 24.0% 25.6% 3.90 -3.8%

Away win 22.8% 17.2% 5.80 +19.3%

Over 2.5 53.7% 54.6% 1.83 -1.7%

Over 3.5 31.8% 33.3% 3.00 -4.6%

BTTS 54.0% 54.6% 1.83 -1.2%

Home O1.5 49.2% 60.6% 1.65 -18.8%

Away O1.5 23.6% 25.3% 3.95 -4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 103 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.0%

H 53% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional1.7

Remo0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL · PPG 1.09

REMO · PPG 0.73

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional (H) 53.2%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -17.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.8%

Remo (A) 22.8%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +19.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional face Remo in Brazil - Serie A on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Remo 23%, so Internacional are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Internacional and 0.9 for Remo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 0.73 for Remo. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.4%.

Internacional vs Remo Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Match Preview & Prediction

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