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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 8 Tuesday, April 21, 2026 15:00
Tukums logo Tukums PPG 0.50
1-1 HIT CS2
Daugavpils logo Daugavpils PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +44.0% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.3%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -23.1%
Draw 20.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -28.2%
Away 47.2%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +20.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.3% Odds: 1.65 +24.2%
Over 3.5 55.4% Odds: 2.60 +44.0%
BTTS 73.5% Odds: 1.50 +10.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✔
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tukums
1.78
Daugavpils
2.16

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +24.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+44.0%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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