Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / S. Lubovna vs Zlate Moravce

S. Lubovna vs Zlate Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 14:30

S. Lubovna

PPG 1.17 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Zlate Moravce

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.3%0-25.5%0-33.8%0-4+3.2%1 1-04.0%1-18.4%1-28.7%1-36.1%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.7%2-27.0%2-34.8%2-4+4.1%3 3-01.7%3-13.6%3-23.7%3-32.6%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.0%4+-22.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 49.2% — — —

Over 2.5 71.1% — — —

Over 3.5 50.1% — — —

BTTS 69.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.8%

A 49% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Lubovna1.6

Zlate Moravce2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

S. LUBOVNA · PPG 1.17

ZLATE MORAVCE · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

S. Lubovna (H) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zlate Moravce (A) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Lubovna face Zlate Moravce in Slovakia - 2. liga on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Lubovna a 30% chance, the draw 21% and Zlate Moravce 49%, so Zlate Moravce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for S. Lubovna and 2.1 for Zlate Moravce (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Lubovna are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.42 for Zlate Moravce. This match finished 4-2.

S. Lubovna vs Zlate Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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