2. liga

SLOVAKIA · 35 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 APR 2026 – 15 MAY 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 35 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

40.0%

1X2

14/35

48.6%

O/U 2.5

17/35

68.6%

BTTS

24/35

40.0%

Exact score

14/35

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

61.5%

Hit rate

16/26

1.57

Avg odds

-2.6%

ROI

-0.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=13 69.2% HIT · AVG 1.59 · +11.0% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=11 54.5% HIT · AVG 1.57 · -15.6% ROI

HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.49 · -19.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

75%

Hit

+16.8%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

65%

Hit

+3.3%

ROI

Match log

35 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 12 HIT · 3 MISS

15 MAY Puchov vs P. Bystrica Over 2.5 -4% 0–1 MISS 15 MAY Pohronie vs S. Bratislava B Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 15 MAY Petrzalka vs L. Mikulas Over 2.5 -9% 2–1 HIT 15 MAY I. Bratislava vs Banska Bystrica BTTS -19% 1–0 MISS 15 MAY Lehota p. V. vs Zlate Moravce Over 2.5 3–3 HIT 15 MAY Zilina B vs Slavia TU K. Over 2.5 -8% 4–0 HIT 15 MAY S. Lubovna vs Malzenice BTTS -11% 1–2 HIT 8 MAY Banska Bystrica vs Lehota p. V. Over 2.5 -9% 4–1 HIT 8 MAY L. Mikulas vs Puchov Over 2.5 -1% 3–0 HIT 8 MAY P. Bystrica vs Pohronie BTTS -9% 1–1 HIT 8 MAY Zlate Moravce vs Petrzalka Over 2.5 +1% 1–0 MISS 8 MAY Zvolen vs Zilina B Over 2.5 -4% 5–2 HIT 3 MAY Petrzalka vs Banska Bystrica BTTS -10% 1–3 HIT 3 MAY Zilina B vs Malzenice BTTS -4% 1–1 HIT 2 MAY Samorin vs S. Bratislava B BTTS -9% 1–1 HIT