Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / P. Bystrica vs Pohronie

P. Bystrica vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

P. Bystrica

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pohronie

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-19.9%0-27.3%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.2%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.0%2-17.4%2-25.5%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.0%3-13.0%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% 66.7% 1.50 -49.1%

Draw 25.5% 25.3% 3.95 +0.4%

Away win 40.6% 18.2% 5.50 +123.3%

Over 2.5 53.0% 60.6% 1.65 -12.6%

Over 3.5 28.6% 38.5% 2.60 -15.4%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.6%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.7%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Bystrica1.2

Pohronie1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

P. BYSTRICA · PPG 1.14

POHRONIE · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

P. Bystrica (H) 33.9%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -49.1%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +0.4%

Pohronie (A) 40.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +123.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Bystrica face Pohronie in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Bystrica a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Pohronie 41%, so Pohronie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for P. Bystrica and 1.5 for Pohronie (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Bystrica are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.86 for Pohronie. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +123.3%. This match finished 1-1.

P. Bystrica vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - 2. liga Predictions