Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.45 -8.2%
Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 2.15 -2.2%
BTTS 61.9% Odds: 1.55 -4.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+75.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.57)