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Zilina B vs Slavia TU K. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

Zilina B

PPG 1.29 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slavia TU K.

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.0%0-24.0%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.8%1-19.3%1-27.5%1-34.0%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.4%3-15.4%3-24.3%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.9%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.6% 69.0% 1.45 -39.7%

Draw 24.9% 22.7% 4.40 +5.7%

Away win 33.5% 19.0% 5.25 +75.9%

Over 2.5 63.3% 69.0% 1.45 -8.2%

Over 3.5 45.5% 46.5% 2.15 -2.2%

BTTS 61.9% 64.5% 1.55 -4.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.9%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina B1.9

Slavia TU K.1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA B · PPG 1.29

SLAVIA TU K. · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina B (H) 41.6%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -39.7%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +5.7%

Slavia TU K. (A) 33.5%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +75.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina B face Slavia TU K. in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina B a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Slavia TU K. 34%, so Zilina B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Zilina B and 1.6 for Slavia TU K. (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina B are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.57 for Slavia TU K.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +75.9%. This match finished 4-0.

Zilina B vs Slavia TU K. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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