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L. Mikulas vs Puchov Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

L. Mikulas

PPG 2.29 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Puchov

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.4%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.4%1-19.3%1-25.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.3%3-17.0%3-23.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-16.0%4+-23.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 55.6% 1.80 -8.2%

Draw 26.4% 27.8% 3.60 -3.0%

Away win 22.6% 27.0% 3.70 -9.8%

Over 2.5 60.2% 60.6% 1.65 -0.7%

Over 3.5 40.5% 38.5% 2.60 +5.3%

BTTS 58.8% 64.5% 1.55 -8.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

L. Mikulas2.1

Puchov1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

L. MIKULAS · PPG 2.29

PUCHOV · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

L. Mikulas (H) 51.0%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -8.2%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.0%

Puchov (A) 22.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

L. Mikulas face Puchov in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Mikulas a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Puchov 23%, so L. Mikulas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for L. Mikulas and 1.1 for Puchov (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Mikulas are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.71 for Puchov. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 3-0.

L. Mikulas vs Puchov Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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