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Slovakia - 2. liga logo Slovakia flag Slovakia - 2. liga Regular Season - 29 Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka· Liptovsky Mikulas Friday, May 8, 2026 15:00
L. Mikulas logo L. Mikulas PPG 2.29
3-0 MISS
Puchov logo Puchov PPG 0.71
Over3.5· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -8.2%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.0%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -9.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.65 -0.7%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 2.60 +5.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.55 -8.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

L. Mikulas
2.12
Puchov
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 69%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -37.5%
Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=51.0%

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