Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / L. Mikulas vs Puchov
L. Mikulas vs Puchov Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga
Matchday 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5 61% chance
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 56 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 51% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%
Form & verdict
L. MIKULAS · PPG 2.29
PUCHOV · PPG 0.71
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=51.0%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
L. Mikulas face Puchov in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Mikulas a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Puchov 23%, so L. Mikulas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for L. Mikulas and 1.1 for Puchov (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Mikulas are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.71 for Puchov. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 3-0.