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I. Bratislava vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

I. Bratislava

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Banska Bystrica

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-113.3%0-210.6%0-35.6%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.4%1-111.8%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.3%2-15.3%2-24.2%2-32.2%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.6% 29.4% 3.40 -7.8%

Draw 27.4% 29.9% 3.35 -4.9%

Away win 47.1% 54.1% 1.85 -12.9%

Over 2.5 47.4% 60.6% 1.65 -21.8%

Over 3.5 23.9% 37.7% 2.65 -22.0%

BTTS 52.1% 64.1% 1.56 -18.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.1%

A 47% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 13.3%

#3 0–2 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

I. Bratislava0.9

Banska Bystrica1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

I. BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.57

BANSKA BYSTRICA · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

I. Bratislava (H) 25.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.8%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.9%

Banska Bystrica (A) 47.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -12.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Bratislava face Banska Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Bratislava a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Banska Bystrica 47%, so Banska Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for I. Bratislava and 1.6 for Banska Bystrica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Bratislava are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.14 for Banska Bystrica. This match finished 1-0.

I. Bratislava vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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