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Pohronie vs S. Bratislava B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

Pohronie

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

S. Bratislava B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-15.3%0-22.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.6%1-110.2%1-25.5%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.0%3-16.4%3-23.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.8%4+-22.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.4% — — —

Over 3.5 35.4% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1✓ 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.3%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohronie1.9

S. Bratislava B1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

POHRONIE · PPG 2.00

S. BRATISLAVA B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.5%

Win probability 1X2

Pohronie (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Bratislava B (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohronie face S. Bratislava B in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohronie a 52% chance, the draw 25% and S. Bratislava B 23%, so Pohronie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Pohronie and 1.1 for S. Bratislava B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohronie are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for S. Bratislava B. This match finished 2-1.

Pohronie vs S. Bratislava B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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