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Petrzalka vs L. Mikulas Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

Petrzalka

PPG 2.07 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

L. Mikulas

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.6%0-23.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.6%1-110.4%1-26.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.0%3-16.1%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.3%4+-22.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 61.7% 1.62 -16.7%

Draw 25.0% 27.8% 3.60 -6.0%

Away win 23.6% 24.4% 4.10 -1.9%

Over 2.5 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Over 3.5 37.1% 42.0% 2.38 -11.7%

BTTS 58.6% 64.9% 1.54 -9.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.6%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrzalka1.9

L. Mikulas1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRZALKA · PPG 2.07

L. MIKULAS · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=51.4%

Win probability 1X2

Petrzalka (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -16.7%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.0%

L. Mikulas (A) 23.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrzalka face L. Mikulas in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrzalka a 51% chance, the draw 25% and L. Mikulas 24%, so Petrzalka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Petrzalka and 1.2 for L. Mikulas (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrzalka are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.93 for L. Mikulas. This match finished 2-1.

Petrzalka vs L. Mikulas Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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