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Banska Bystrica vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

Banska Bystrica

PPG 2.36 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWWL

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lehota p. V.

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-14.0%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.1%1-18.8%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.9%3-17.0%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-16.4%4+-22.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 80.0% 1.25 -27.5%

Draw 23.2% 19.2% 5.20 +12.4%

Away win 18.8% 10.5% 9.50 +47.2%

Over 2.5 59.3% 65.4% 1.53 -9.3%

Over 3.5 35.0% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

BTTS 52.3% 51.8% 1.93 +0.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.3%

H 58% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banska Bystrica2.2

Lehota p. V.0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BANSKA BYSTRICA · PPG 2.36

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

64%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Banska Bystrica (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -27.5%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +12.4%

Lehota p. V. (A) 18.8%

ODDS 9.50 · IMPLIED 10.5% EV +47.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banska Bystrica face Lehota p. V. in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banska Bystrica a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Lehota p. V. 19%, so Banska Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Banska Bystrica and 0.8 for Lehota p. V. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banska Bystrica are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 0.79 for Lehota p. V.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +47.2%. This match finished 4-1.

Banska Bystrica vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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