Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Lehota p. V. vs Zlate Moravce

Lehota p. V. vs Zlate Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

Lehota p. V.

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Zlate Moravce

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.3%0-25.0%0-33.1%0-4+2.3%1 1-04.7%1-18.9%1-28.4%1-35.3%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.1%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.3%3-14.2%3-24.0%3-32.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.6%4+-22.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 39.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.5%

A 40% / xG 1.7-1.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lehota p. V.1.7

Zlate Moravce1.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 1.64

ZLATE MORAVCE · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Lehota p. V. (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zlate Moravce (A) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lehota p. V. face Zlate Moravce in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lehota p. V. a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Zlate Moravce 40%, so Zlate Moravce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lehota p. V. and 1.9 for Zlate Moravce (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lehota p. V. are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.21 for Zlate Moravce. This match finished 3-3.

Lehota p. V. vs Zlate Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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