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S. Lubovna vs Malzenice Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

S. Lubovna

PPG 1.29 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Malzenice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-19.1%0-26.6%0-33.2%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.2%1-112.0%1-28.7%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.4%2-17.9%2-25.8%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.4%3-13.5%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% 36.4% 2.75 +2.3%

Draw 26.3% 32.3% 3.10 -11.1%

Away win 36.5% 44.8% 2.23 -18.6%

Over 2.5 52.3% 55.6% 1.80 -5.9%

Over 3.5 30.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.8%

BTTS 54.8% 61.7% 1.62 -11.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.8%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2✓ 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.2%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Lubovna1.3

Malzenice1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

S. LUBOVNA · PPG 1.29

MALZENICE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

S. Lubovna (H) 37.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +2.3%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.1%

Malzenice (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.23 · IMPLIED 44.8% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Lubovna face Malzenice in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Lubovna a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Malzenice 37%, so S. Lubovna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for S. Lubovna and 1.5 for Malzenice (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Lubovna are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Malzenice. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 1-2.

S. Lubovna vs Malzenice Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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