Today / Sweden - Allsvenskan / BK Hacken vs Halmstad

BK Hacken vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 17:00

BK Hacken

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Halmstad

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-12.8%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.7%1-17.2%1-23.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.1%2-19.2%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.5%3-17.8%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.1%4+-19.2%4+-23.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.1% 76.9% 1.30 -14.1%

Draw 18.7% 19.0% 5.25 -1.1%

Away win 15.2% 11.4% 8.80 +20.3%

Over 2.5 63.5% 69.4% 1.44 -8.6%

Over 3.5 41.4% 47.6% 2.10 -13.1%

BTTS 54.5% 59.9% 1.67 -9.0%

Home O1.5 63.4% 76.9% 1.30 -17.6%

Away O1.5 21.1% 26.3% 3.80 -11.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -0.2%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.5%

H 66% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.1%

#2 3–0 9.5%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BK Hacken2.6

Halmstad0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BK HACKEN · PPG 1.62

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.29

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 1.62 vs 0.29 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

BK Hacken (H) 66.1%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -14.1%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -1.1%

Halmstad (A) 15.2%

ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

BK Hacken face Halmstad in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BK Hacken a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Halmstad 15%, so BK Hacken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for BK Hacken and 0.8 for Halmstad (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BK Hacken are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.29 for Halmstad. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +2.0%.

BK Hacken vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Allsvenskan Predictions