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Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:00

Sirius

PPG 2.71 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

IF Brommapojkarna

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 69.3% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.2%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.4%1-16.2%1-23.0%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.0%2-18.7%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.8%4+-111.5%4+-25.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.8% 76.9% 1.30 -11.9%

Draw 16.7% 19.0% 5.25 -7.4%

Away win 15.5% 11.4% 8.80 +21.8%

Over 2.5 67.4% 71.4% 1.40 -5.6%

Over 3.5 47.1% 51.3% 1.95 -8.2%

BTTS 61.6% 63.7% 1.57 -3.3%

Home O1.5 69.3% 78.1% 1.28 -11.3%

Away O1.5 26.6% 28.6% 3.50 -4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -5.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.6%

H 68% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 3–0 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sirius2.8

IF Brommapojkarna1.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SIRIUS · PPG 2.71

IF BROMMAPOJKARNA · PPG 1.38

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.85 for Home, form 2.71 vs 1.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sirius (H) 67.8%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -11.9%

Draw 16.7%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -7.4%

IF Brommapojkarna (A) 15.5%

ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sirius face IF Brommapojkarna in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sirius a 68% chance, the draw 17% and IF Brommapojkarna 16%, so Sirius are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Sirius and 1.0 for IF Brommapojkarna (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sirius are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.38 for IF Brommapojkarna. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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