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Finnsnes vs Bossekop Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Finnsnes

PPG 2.71 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bossekop

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.77 for Home, form 2.71 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-10.9%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.6%1-13.4%1-21.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.7%2-16.2%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.2%3-17.7%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-020.0%4+-118.6%4+-28.6%4+-32.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.1% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 8.4% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 54.1% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob61.8%

H 75% / xG 3.7-0.9 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.2%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 4–0 7.6%

#4 4–1 7.1%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Finnsnes3.7

Bossekop0.9

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FINNSNES · PPG 2.71

BOSSEKOP · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.77 for Home, form 2.71 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Finnsnes (H) 75.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bossekop (A) 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Finnsnes face Bossekop in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finnsnes a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Bossekop 8%, so Finnsnes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Finnsnes and 0.9 for Bossekop (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finnsnes are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 0.57 for Bossekop. This match finished 2-3.

Finnsnes vs Bossekop Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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