Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles

Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 24 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 10:30

Bulleen Lions

PPG 1.55 · HOME

UPCOMING

North Sunshine Eagles

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-15.5%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.2%1-110.5%1-24.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.7%3-16.3%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.6%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 74 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 54% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 10.6%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulleen Lions1.9

North Sunshine Eagles0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLEEN LIONS · PPG 1.55

NORTH SUNSHINE EAGLES · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bulleen Lions (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

North Sunshine Eagles (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulleen Lions face North Sunshine Eagles in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulleen Lions a 54% chance, the draw 23% and North Sunshine Eagles 23%, so Bulleen Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bulleen Lions and 0.9 for North Sunshine Eagles (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulleen Lions are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.91 for North Sunshine Eagles.

Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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