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Brunswick Juventus FC vs Melbourne Srbija Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:30

Brunswick Juventus FC

PPG 2.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Melbourne Srbija

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-17.1%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.9%1-111.6%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.5%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.2%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 33.7% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -35.9%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 53% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brunswick Juventus FC1.6

Melbourne Srbija0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUNSWICK JUVENTUS FC · PPG 2.18

MELBOURNE SRBIJA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brunswick Juventus FC (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Melbourne Srbija (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brunswick Juventus FC face Melbourne Srbija in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brunswick Juventus FC a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Melbourne Srbija 23%, so Brunswick Juventus FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brunswick Juventus FC and 0.9 for Melbourne Srbija (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brunswick Juventus FC are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.18 for Melbourne Srbija.

Brunswick Juventus FC vs Melbourne Srbija Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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