Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus FC

North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus FC Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:00

North Sunshine Eagles logo
North Sunshine Eagles
PPG 0.82 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Brunswick Juventus FC logo
Brunswick Juventus FC
PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-19.2%0-27.5%0-34.1%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.1%1-111.5%1-29.3%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.4%2-17.1%2-25.8%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.8%3-13.0%3-22.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.1% 29.4% 3.40 +9.1%
Draw 25.1% 23.8% 4.20 +3.3%
Away win 42.7% 58.8% 1.70 -27.4%
Over 2.5 53.4% 71.4% 1.40 -25.2%
Over 3.5 32.2% 51.5% 1.94 -37.5%
BTTS 55.4% 73.0% 1.37 -24.1%
Home O1.5 33.9% 46.1% 2.17 -26.4%
Away O1.5 48.0% 67.6% 1.48 -29.0%

League track record

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 42%
ROI -35.9%
Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.4%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 0–1 9.2%
#4 0–2 7.5%
#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

North Sunshine Eagles1.2
Brunswick Juventus FC1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTH SUNSHINE EAGLES · PPG 0.82

BRUNSWICK JUVENTUS FC · PPG 1.91

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

North Sunshine Eagles (H) 32.1%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +9.1%
Draw 25.1%
ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +3.3%
Brunswick Juventus FC (A) 42.7%
ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -27.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

North Sunshine Eagles face Brunswick Juventus FC in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Sunshine Eagles a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Brunswick Juventus FC 43%, so Brunswick Juventus FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for North Sunshine Eagles and 1.6 for Brunswick Juventus FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Sunshine Eagles are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.91 for Brunswick Juventus FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +11.8%.

PredictVantage

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