Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Western United II vs Langwarrin

Western United II vs Langwarrin Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 04:00

Western United II

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Langwarrin

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.4%0-21.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-02.0%1-14.1%1-24.2%1-32.9%1-4+2.4%2 2-02.9%2-16.0%2-26.2%2-34.2%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.9%3-15.9%3-26.1%3-34.1%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-18.9%4+-29.2%4+-36.3%4+-4+5.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 20.2% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 73.8% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.4%

H 52% / xG 2.9-2.1 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.2%

#2 3–2 6.1%

#3 2–1 6.0%

#4 3–1 5.9%

#5 1–1 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Western United II2.9

Langwarrin2.1

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.8% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTERN UNITED II · PPG 1.45

LANGWARRIN · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Western United II (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Langwarrin (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Western United II face Langwarrin in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Western United II a 52% chance, the draw 20% and Langwarrin 28%, so Western United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Western United II and 2.1 for Langwarrin (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Western United II are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.82 for Langwarrin.

Western United II vs Langwarrin Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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